Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Maine

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to win 44.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often contain substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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