Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Maine
The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.8% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to win 44.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often contain substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.