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North Carolina: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to this model, Clinton will achieve 52.8% of the two-party vote share in North Carolina, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 47.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not rely too much on the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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