DeSart model in Maine: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 44.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to obtain 44.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.