DeSart model in Maine: Clinton with very clear lead
The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 44.3% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Maine. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to obtain 44.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.