Jerome model in Louisiana: Trump with very clear lead

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will collect 53.3% of the two-party vote share in Louisiana, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to achieve 53.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, as they can include large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the recommended strategy look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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