Jerome model: Clinton with very clear lead in Michigan

The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 44.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Michigan. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect 55.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may contain large errors. Rather, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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