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DeSart model: Clinton with very clear lead in Massachusetts

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 37.4% of the two-party vote share in Massachusetts, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to achieve 37.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, don't rely too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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