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DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Missouri


The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 57.5% of the two-party vote share in Missouri, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to obtain 57.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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