DeSart model in Minnesota: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 48.4% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Minnesota. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to achieve 48.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, one should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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