Jerome model in Maryland: Clinton is in the lead
The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 39.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Maryland. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to collect 39.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models can include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.