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Michigan: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead


The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 47.5% of the two-party vote share in Michigan, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to garner 47.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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