DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Indiana

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 57.9% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to achieve 57.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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