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Jerome model: In Kansas trails by a very clear margin

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The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 56.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to garner 56.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they may incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, we recommend to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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