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DeSart model: In Idaho trails by a very clear margin


The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 69.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Idaho. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 30.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they may include large errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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