DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Kentucky

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 64.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 35.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, don't be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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