The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 49.4% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Iowa. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to win 49.4% of the vote.
Iowa is traditionally a swing state, where the Democratic and Republican candidates have often won similar levels of support among voters. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.