The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 52.2% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Kentucky. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to collect 52.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they can contain substantial biases. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.