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Jerome model: In Illinois trails by a very clear margin

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to collect 45.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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