The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 45.6% of the two-party vote share in Illinois, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to collect 45.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, as they may include substantial errors. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.