Jerome model: Trump with very clear lead in Idaho

The Jerome model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will collect 67.9% of the two-party vote share in Idaho, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to gain 67.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, you should use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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