DeSart model in Kansas: Trump with very clear lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will receive 64.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to achieve 64.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice scientific advice is to rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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