Jerome model in Florida: Clinton with very clear lead

The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 49.0% of the two-party vote share in Florida, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect 51.0% of the vote.

In Florida, the popular vote is often decided by a narrow margin. This is why the state is commonly considered a purple state, which makes it particularly interesting from a forecasting perspective.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they can incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.