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DeSart model in Georgia: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 56.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Georgia. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to gain 56.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they may incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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