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Jerome model in Indiana: Trump is in the lead

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The Jerome model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will collect 56.6% of the two-party vote share in Indiana, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 43.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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