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Jerome model in Connecticut: Clinton with very clear lead

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The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will receive 46.5% of the two-party vote share in Connecticut, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with 53.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, because they often incorporate large errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, one should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that incorporates different methods and data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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