DeSart model in Colorado: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. The model expects that Clinton will collect 49.7% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with 50.4% of the vote.

Colorado is traditionally a swing state, where the GOP and the Democrats have often achieved similar levels of support among voters. This is why the election outcome in that state is regarded critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, as they often incorporate large errors. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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