Connecticut: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 43.4% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Connecticut. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to gain 43.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Hence, don't be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the best practice is to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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