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DeSart model: Clinton with comfortable lead


The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to this model, Clinton will garner 8.1% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with 91.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, because they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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