The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will achieve 29.9% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to gain 29.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, forecasting research recommends to consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.