Colorado: Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead
The Jerome model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model forecasts that Clinton will receive 46.3% of the two-party vote share in Colorado, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to garner 46.3% of the vote.
Colorado is traditionally a swing state, where the GOP and the Democrats have often achieved similar voter support. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is considered important in determining who will win the majority of electoral votes.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models often incorporate large biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, you should look at combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.