Jerome model: In Delaware trails by a very clear margin

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model predicts that Clinton will receive 46.5% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect 53.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be interpreted with caution, since they can include large biases. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, research in forecasting recommends to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which uses different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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