The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in California. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.3% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.