Jerome model in California: Clinton with very clear lead

The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 46.7% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in California. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to gain 53.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. Thus, as a general rule, you should not have too much faith in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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