Jerome model: In Alabama trails by a very clear margin
The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will collect 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to gain only 45.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.
Comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.