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Jerome model: In Alabama trails by a very clear margin


The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model expects that Clinton will collect 54.4% of the two-party vote share in Alabama, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to gain only 45.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models may contain large errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. Rather than trusting the results from single econometric models, the evidence-based approach is to use combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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