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DeSart model in Delaware: Clinton is in the lead


The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 42.7% of the two-party vote share in Delaware, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with 57.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models can include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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