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DeSart model in Arizona: Trump with very clear lead


The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will achieve 57.3% of the two-party vote share in Arizona, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to obtain 57.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models often contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, we recommend to look at combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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