DeSart model in Alaska: Trump with very clear lead
The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will achieve 60.1% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to collect only 39.9% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.