DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Arkansas
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 65.2% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to collect 65.2% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.