DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Arkansas

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 65.2% of the two-party vote share in Arkansas, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to collect 65.2% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single econometric models should be treated with caution, since they may contain substantial errors. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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