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Arkansas: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead


The Jerome model published an updated prediction of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 51.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Arkansas. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to win 51.9% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be regarded with caution, because they often include substantial biases. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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