Jerome model: In Alaska trails by a very clear margin

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model predicts that Clinton will garner 69.1% of the two-party vote share in Alaska, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to win 69.1% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they sometimes incorporate large errors. Rather, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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