LA Times published the results of a new national poll. In this poll, interviewees were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
LA Times poll results
The poll was in the field between July 30 and August 5. The sample size was 2205 participants. The margin of error is +/-2.1 points, which means that the poll results for the candidates of both parties do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls can incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
For the following comparison, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 50.6% for Clinton and 49.4% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 40.9 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 40.9 percentage points.
The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.7% and Trump 47.3% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 2.2 percentage points less and Trump has 2.2 percentage points more when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's margin of error.