Results of a new national poll carried out by UPI/CVOTER were announced. The poll asked respondents for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.
UPI/CVOTER poll results
This poll was conducted via Internet from July 29 to August 4, among a random sample of 1060 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-3.1 points. This means that the poll results for both parties' candidates do not differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be treated with caution, as they may include large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 53.2% for Clinton and 46.8% for Trump.
Results in comparison to other polls
In comparison to the average results of other polls Clinton performed better with 43.5 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 43.5 percentage points.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.5% and Trump 47.5% of the two-party vote. Clinton has 0.7 percentage points more and Trump has 0.7 percentage points less when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error shows that this deviation is significant.