New PPP (D)PPP (D) poll in Pennsylvania: Clinton holds narrow lead

Results of a new poll conducted by PPP (D)PPP (D) were distributed. The poll asked interviewees from Pennsylvania for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from July 29 to July 31 among 1505 likely voters. Considering the poll's margin of error of +/-2.5 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they can incorporate large errors. Rather, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure yields values of 47.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. For comparison: 48.9% was obtained by Clinton in the PPP (D)PPP (D) poll on March 23, for Trump this result was 51.1%. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 46.8% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Pennsylvania.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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