Colorado: New NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ poll shows Clinton with 8 points lead

Results of a new poll carried out by NBC/WSJ/MaristNBC/WSJ were circulated. The poll asked respondents from Colorado for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.

Historically, Colorado has been a swing state, in which neither of the two major parties has had overwhelming support to clinch that state's electoral college votes. This is why predictions in this state are of particular value.

The poll was carried out from July 5 to July 11 among 794 registered voters. If one accounts for the poll's sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the evidence-based approach is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, one can convert them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 44.9% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump. The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 46.9% and Trump % of the two-party vote in Colorado.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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