Putting the results in context

The Electoral-cycle model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 48.6% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 51.4%. In comparison, on August 3 Trump was predicted to collect 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.2 percentage points.

The Electoral-cycle model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

Clinton has 3.9 percentage points less and Trump has 3.9 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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