Putting the results in context

The Electoral-cycle model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently predicts a two-party vote share of 48.6% for Clinton and 51.4% for Trump. In comparison, on August 7 Trump was predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.2 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.2 percentage points.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

Clinton has 4.2 percentage points less and Trump has 4.2 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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