Jerome model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead
The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 67.7% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to win 67.7% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models often include large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.