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DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 74.6% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in Wyoming. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 25.4% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single econometric models, since they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, you should rely on combined econometric models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes forecasts from different methods, each of which includes different data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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