West Virginia: Jerome model shows Trump in the lead

The Jerome model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 54.0% for Clinton and 0.0% for Trump in West Virginia. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to gain 54.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. As a result, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did better with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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