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Jerome model: In Washington trails by a very clear margin

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The Jerome model published an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model's forecast is that Clinton will receive 47.2% of the two-party vote share in Washington, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4, Clinton was predicted to gain 52.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models should be interpreted with caution, as they may include large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single econometric models, one should consult combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to other econometric models

In comparison to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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