The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 45.8% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, while Trump will end up with 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was predicted to obtain 45.8% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual econometric models may include substantial biases, and should be treated with caution. Rather than relying on results from single econometric models, the best practice is to use combined econometric models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that includes different methods and data.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.