DeSart model: In Tennessee trails by a very clear margin

The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. The model forecasts that Clinton will obtain 63.3% of the two-party vote share in Tennessee, whereas Trump will win 0.0%. In comparison, on August 4 Trump was still predicted to win 63.3% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual econometric models often include large errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed better with 0.0 percentage points, while Trump did worse with 0.0 percentage points.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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