The Fair model is captured in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 44.0% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 56.0%. In comparison, on August 3, Clinton was predicted to collect 56.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, econometric models are subject to bias. In general, you should not be too confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a econometric model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
When compared to the average results of other econometric models Clinton performed worse with 4.8 percentage points, while Trump did better with 4.8 percentage points.
The Fair model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
Clinton has 8.5 percentage points less and Trump has 8.5 percentage points more when the results of the econometric model are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast.